One platform. One signal. One conviction language.
TradeWPower
= DIANA
= DIANA
The digital fusion of PhD meteorology, 24-year institutional trading, and a daily research workflow — delivered to the desk every morning, before markets open.
What DIANA stands for
D
Digital
I
Intelligent
A
Artificial
N
Numerical
A
Advisor
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Digital
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45 years of ERA5 reanalysis — every storm, ridge and vortex on record — queryable on demand. |
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Intelligent
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Pattern matching that reads regimes the way a senior meteorologist does — faster, and on every market at once. |
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Artificial
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Self-calibrating each morning — yesterday’s observation feeds today’s conviction tier. |
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Numerical
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Direction, magnitude and HIGH/MEDIUM/LOW conviction — not narrative, not vibes. |
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Advisor
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Six connected reports R0–R5 — one signal language across trader, hedger, planner and analyst. |
45yr
Backtested weather
13
European markets
+11-22pp
Edge over ECMWF, W3–W6
73%
High-tier hit rate
The proof, in one chart
DIANA pulls ahead at the horizons where positions are built.
Direction accuracy on observed weather, head-to-head against the ECMWF energy-weather forecast over multi-year validation. EC owns the first week — by the finest of margins. From the second week, the ensemble converges on climatology. Weeks 3 to 6 are when DIANA’s edge is widest.
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66%
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67%
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68%
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60%
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69%
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54%
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65%
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54%
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70%
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51%
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70%
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48%
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coin
flip |
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W1
−0.4pp
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W2
+8.2pp
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W3
+15.0pp
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W4
+11.0pp
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W5
+19.4pp
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W6
+21.7pp
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| DIANAECMWF energy forecastWhere the trade lives · W3 to W6 |
The daily chain
Six reports. One conviction language. Every morning.
Each report answers one specific question and hands its output to the next. Open six tabs and the desk has a complete view — not six vendors to reconcile.
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R0
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R1
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R2
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R3
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R4
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R5
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Status
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The New Normal
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Analogs
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Hydrology
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DIANA Weather
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Trade
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Pipeline health
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DIANA analogue year fit
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Best-match years
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Reservoir trajectory
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W1 to W6
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Trade / Lean / Watch
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Why DIANA works
Conviction is the product, not just the direction.
Conviction-tagged
High · Medium · Low
| High | 73% | |
| Med | 67% | |
| Low | 62% | |
Direction accuracy by tier on the 2010–2024 backtest (in-sample; 26,555 tiered calls). Size up on High, lean on Medium, stand down on Low — before the week starts.
Edge over consensus
+11 to +22 pp at W3–W6
+40pp
Week 6 extreme weeks
DIANA 87% · ECMWF 47% on the regime-change weeks that move books most. Direction accuracy on observed weather, head-to-head vs the ECMWF energy forecast, 2010–2024 (DIANA in-sample on its production atlas; EC out-of-sample).
Coverage
13 European markets
Nordic (NO1–NO5, SE1–SE4)
Germany (power)
France (power)
Spain (power)
Gas (TTF & HH)
Germany (power)
France (power)
Spain (power)
Gas (TTF & HH)
Energy-weather and hydrology per market. One signal language across the desk — trader, hedger, planner, analyst all read the same call.
Behind DIANA
Meteorological science meets institutional trading.
Dr. Ivan Føre Svegaarden
CEO · Head of Energy Analysis & Weather Risk
PhD in Energy Meteorology · 13+ years of applied research and energy trading. Architect of DIANA — the digital fusion of his Weather Regime Model research, trading practice and analyst workflow. Specializes in SRMC-Power Disconnect analysis, wind drought dynamics and cross-market weather correlations.
Jan Erik Pedersen
Head of Portfolio Management & Risk
24+ years institutional commodity trading · MSc Finance NHH. Senior positions at major European energy firms; fund founder and manager. Deep expertise in Nordic, German and French power markets, plus gas and cross-commodity dynamics.
Markets reward people who see first
Ready when you are.
A 30-minute briefing on how DIANA reads the next six weeks for your book.
Phone
Email
TradeWPower AS · Lillehammer, Norway · Since 2016 · Org.nr. 919 948 000
